Asia FX dips, dollar steadies at 10-mth high on rate hike talk

Investing.com– Most Asian currencies fell slightly on Tuesday, while the dollar steadied at its highest levels for the year on growing bets that U.S. interest rates will rise further this year.

The dollar index and dollar index futures rose slightly in Asian trade, as hawkish comments from Minneapolis Federal Reserve chief Neel Kashkari further bolstered expectations for higher rates.

Kashkari said he saw at least one more rate hike this year, and that rates will need to stay higher for longer to cool some aspects of the U.S. economy. Such a scenario bodes poorly for Asian currencies, as the gap between risky and low-risk interest rates narrows.

Sentiment towards Asia was also held back by persistent concerns over China, particularly a meltdown in its massive property sector. The yuan languished near 10-month lows despite a stronger-than-expected daily midpoint fix by the People’s Bank of China.

Focus this week is also on Chinese purchasing managers’ index data, which is expected to show continued weakness in business activity.

Concerns over China saw the Australian dollar fall slightly, with a monthly reading on Australian consumer inflation due later this week.

Broader Asian currencies kept to a tight range amid weak risk appetite, with most regional units trading at multi-month lows to the dollar.

The Indian rupee was flat, but was close to record lows, also coming under pressure from a recent spike in oil prices.

The South Korean won slipped 0.4% to an over one-month low, and was also close to testing 2023 lows. In Southeast Asia, the Singapore dollar shed 0.1%, while the Indonesian rupiah shed 0.2%, with both currencies also facing pressure from higher oil prices.

Japanese yen flat amid intervention threats
The Japanese yen traded sideways on Tuesday, but remained close to a 11-month low against the dollar.

While the currency was battered in recent sessions by the Bank of Japan reiterating its ultra-dovish stance, deeper losses were held back by warnings of more currency market intervention from the government.

Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki recently said the government will not rule out any options to support the beleaguered yen, echoing comments from other top currency officials that the government stood ready to support the currency.

Markets are now watching 150 as a level to attract intervention by the government. The yen traded at about 148 to the dollar on Tuesday.

Weakness in the yen- which had sunk to over 30-year lows in mid-2022, had seen record levels of dollar selling by Japan to support the battered currency. But with pressure from U.S. rates set to continue, the outlook for the yen appears bleak.